Saturday, February 4, 2012

Just a sample

One post down and while I had a few extra names, the point I made was reiterated by Mel Kiper as he released his top 5 per position for the 2013 draft.  I may be a little more optimistic about the Hogs chances to pull an Alabama and be represented 3 or 4 times in the first round, Kiper definitely sees the improvement of the talent level in Fayetteville.  Just like I said a few days earlier, Alabama, Georgia, and Arkansas should be the most well represented SEC teams in the 2013 draft.

I want to see how accurate Rivals recruiting service faired with their 2003 evaluation of QB's.  Everyone says it's easy for the recruiting services to recognize the top talent, and then everyone else is much more difficult to analyze.  So let's take a look at how they analyzed that "top talent."

The following are the top 5 Pro-Style QBs in 2003 according to Rivals.

Top 5 Pro-Style QBs in 2003:

1. Kyle Wright
While Wright spent a limited amount of time at the professional level, he's currently a free-agent and was undrafted after expectations were to go on day 2 of the draft.

2. Chris Leak
Chris Leak helped Florida win Urban Meyer's first BCS National Championship in 2007, but was not selected in the NFL draft.  He did however spend a short time with the Bears before being drafted in the sixth round of the Arena Football League and is currently playing for the Jacksonville Sharks.

3. Tommy Grady
Tommy Grady originally went to OU, but transferred to Utah after Jason White solidified the starting job.  He was undrafted and is currently playing Arena Football for the Utah Blaze.

4. Clayton Richard
Richard is a different story, he went to Michigan and was unable to beat out Chad Henne for the starting job.  He focused his attention to baseball, was selected in the 8th round of the MLB draft and is currently pitching for the San Diego Padres.

5. Kevin McCabe
McCabe went to Virginia, where he saw very limited action and barely has enough stats to register as a player for the Cavaliers.  He threw only 14 passes in his college career and is no longer playing football.

The names not in the top 5 that really stand out are:
Matt Ryan-selected 3rd overall in the 2008 NFL draft.
Joe Flacco-selected 18th overall in the 2008 NFL draft.
Brady Quinn-selected 22nd overall in the 2007 NFL draft.

To the credit of Rivals, they did have JaMarcus Russell listed as their 6th best QB, JaMarcus was the first pick in the 2007 draft, but could not get it done at the NFL level.

Of the remaining top 50 there are several current NFL players in backup roles, it's just curious to me that none of the top 5 QBs according to Rivals in 2003 are still participating at the highest level, while several of the QBs outside the top 5 have made a fantastic living in the NFL.

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